Earthquakes increase in end times.
The last day prophecies say that earthquakes will increase. How is the current pattern of earthquake increase lining up with this prophecy?
Reference:
http://earth.webecs.co.uk/index.htm
Below is a graph showing how the number of “all size” magnitude earthquakes has grown over the past 30 years or so.
All earthquakes of 7.0 is reflected in the next chart. This report has been based on data available from USGS (NEIC) and other online sources, such as Wikipedia, in an attempt to cover as much of the available data as possible. .
| DATES | PERIOD | #EARTHQUAKES ( MAG >6.99) | |
| 1863-1900 | 38 years | 12 | |
| 1901-1938 | 38 years | 53 | Reference list 1901 to 1938 |
| 1939-1976 | 38 years | 71 | Reference list 1939 to 1976 |
| 1977-2014 | 38 years | 123 (to Jan 2008) | Reference list 1977 to date |
| predict >180 in total | |||
Apart from the “long-term” trends shown above, which show an show an ongoing persistent increase, it is perhaps more stark to record that earthquakes across the planet show a marked increase in activity since 1997. There are more major earthquakes occurring now, and this on an ever more frequent basis.
Trends since 1986, correlated with the solar cycles
11 year periods : earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or greater
1986 and 1996 (incl), solar cycle 22, 15 earthquakes.
1997 and 2007 (incl), solar cycle 23, 99 earthquakes
This is more than a six-fold increase on the previous similar period – and is a stark increase on any earlier decades in 20th century too.
2008 and 2019 (incl), solar cycle 24, 600 ??? (another 6 fold increase?)
For more about solar cycles: Click here
The trends in nature here, particularly from 1997 support the wider realization of prophesy about the “End Times”, namely that an increase in earthquake activity is a pre-requisite for the “second coming of Jesus Christ” foretold in the bible. It does not indicate how close we are to this event, but suggests it is not too far away.
Future Trends
Past performance cannot necessarily be taken as a clear indication of future trends . However, it is clear we are currently living in a time when earthquake frequency has increased, it will be interesting to see if the immediate future maintains this trend.
Reference ( personal opinion?):
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Subduction Zones (blue curves) and tectonic boundaries (brown curves) with filled circles showing locations of known earthquakes of M7.5 or greater since 1900. Credit: Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute/Robert McCaffrey
Amazing “live map” of sites around the world Earthquake Epicenters from 1999 to 2003
http://www.seed.slb.com/en/scictr/watch/living_planet/quake_map/index.htm
Do you live near an earthquake epicenter? Since earthquakes are also related to volcano activity, see this link:
http://www.volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?faq=06
Earthquake watch- past 7 days Click here
The next major earthquake on the Hayward Fault – inevitable anytime now, experts say – will be the San Francisco Bay Area’s own Hurricane Katrina, affecting more than 5 million people
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2008/03/20/MND1VND13.DTL
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Since earthquakes are also related to volcano activity, see this link:
http://www.volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?faq=06
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To read about solar eclipses connected to end time events, Click here for more.
To read about solar cycle 24 and the end times, Click here for more.
To read about star signs in the end times. Click here for more.
To read about famine in the end times Click here for more.
To read about earthquakes increasing in Jerusalem in the end times Click here for more.
God has promised to “shake the nations” in the last days.
Click here for more
Tsunami Risk for the East Coast of the USA
Click here for more
Earthquake:
March 20, 2008 Thursday 7.2 Major EQ
Location: 35.424N, 81.386E
REGION: XINJIANG-XIZANG BORDER REGION, CHINA
140 Miles SE from Hotan, Xinjiang, China
235 Miles ENE from Leh, Kashmir
385 Miles ENE from Srinagar, Kashmir
1930 Miles W from Beijing, Beijing, China
[23.1 Miles Deep]
Earthquake
Bernama – Kuala Lumpur,Malaysia
KUALA LUMPUR, March 21 (Bernama) — A strong earthquake with a magnitude of 6.1 on the Richter scale was detected around the Philippine islands, http://www.bernama. com.my/bernama/ v3/news.php? id=321722
update: 4-18-08 , 5.2 earthquake in midwest USA along New Madrid Fault. Unusual spot for an earthquake. last time was in 2002. Last time severe activity was back in 1811-1812.
update: 4.7 Reno, Nevada
“Strong earthquakes in the New Madrid seismic zone are certain to occur in the future,” states a USGS fact sheet. “There is a 9-in-10 chance of a magnitude 6 to 7 temblor occurring in the New Madrid Seismic Zone within the next 50 years.” (http://www.livescience.com/environment/050210_earthquake_arkansas.html)
more information on the new madrid fault activity;
UPDATE: May 13, 2008 – size 7.8- Toll from China quake estimated at 20,000
UPDATE: May 16, 2008 -size 5.5- aftershock in China causing more damage.
UPDATE: May 25, 2008 – size 5.8 – aftershock in China. Toll now 80,000. heart breaking.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080512/ap_on_re_as/china_earthquake
http://www.scchealth.org/docs/ems/docs/prepare/newMadrid.html
Yellowstone earthquake swarm 12-30-08 a danger to Utah and Nevada? …… http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,473925,00.html
1-11-09 news…about yellowstone …..video
http://www.foxnews.com/video2/video08.html?maven_referralObject=3417852&maven_referralPlaylistId=&sRevUrl=http://www.foxnews.com/americasnewsroom/index.html
Honduras earthquake 7.1 on 5/28/09
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090528/ap_on_re_la_am_ca/lt_honduras_earthquake
[...] for another AWESOME related post, see http://heavenawaits.wordpress.com/earthquakes-increase-in-end-times/ Earthquake Headlines in Feb [...]
Signs of the End Times - Earthquakes! « Cudweeds said this on March 18, 2008 at 3:06 pm |
Earthquake in Jerusalem….could be very significant for the end times. The mosque has to be destroyed so that the next temple can be built. Maybe God is getting ready to remove it.
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/125277
‘icrease in number of earthquakes’ may be misleading – there is plainly more equipment, and it’s sensitivity increased. altrough there is indeed some correlation , and personally i speculate it might be plainly related with link of planet’s magnetic fields with sun’s magnetic field (and their inter-relationships) – influencing internal currents and magnetic ‘components’ of earth. those ’small’ changes in fact represent gigantic amounts of energy which can accumulate either as some kind of charge, pressure, or temperature… unfortunatelly i don’t know enough about all of this, i would like to see more precise magnetic model of our solar system
Curious,
Thank you for your comment. what you say is true. I would like to find out more about it. There is something called the Alfven Resonance in the earth, that is actually different from the atmospheric Schumann Resonance, and I am trying to find out more about that now. The Schumann is affected by the solar, but I am not sure how the Alfven ties in. Independent vs inter-dependent activity?
thank you
marianne
that is a real eye opener
Hi kyle
Be glad you do not live in an earthquake zone. It is good to see you reading.
blessings
marianne
Hi Marianne,
nearly all earthquakes are in exactly the same deepth,
seems to me its man-made…
please watch
hi Silvanus
maybe….it can disturb the atmosphere and the earth…but those fault lines were there before HAARP. I may be a mix of human and nature together….did you see the weird things on this page? I added more pictures at the bottom of the page.
http://heavenawaits.wordpress.com/the-night-of-11-14-08-%E2%80%93-what-is-going-on/
blessings
marianne
Yeah you have sent me pictures…
I’m really scared, although i should be happy that the time is near…
I’m so glad i found you and your site.. Thank you so much for doing this here!
I have to tell peoples and friends around me about it, and whats going on with our world, and tell them from the real savior!
Its not much time left, and i have to get many people as possible to be saved!
Hi Silvanus.
Keep working and telling people. I am in a read target zone. If we have war, I am dead. So my website will still be around when I am gone.
blessings
marianne
For more on the end time, read The Prophecised End-Time or 2008-God’s Final Witness. For those in the US and Canada, the mortality rate is 96.66%. For those in Europe and Asia, I advise you to escape, for an Armageddon is coming. I was once a devout aethiest, but these book have greatly changed my faith. Keep faithful, pray to God, and watch for God’s two prophets.
Hi Wordless prayer,
Unfortunately for most people, there is no where to run to. People will have to accept that they will either die, get raptured, or experience a very terrible time.
blessings
marianne
Hey Wordless Prayer, I love to hear about conversions such as yours, Jesus bless you.
Looking at 30 years of data and extrapolating a historically large upward shift in earthquake frequency is a form of sampling error. You are not drawing from a large enough set of data to make such a sweeping determination. How do you know that the pattern right now is not similar to the pattern in 1200BCE or 83CE? Answer: You do not because you do not have access to this data. The absolute most information you could have access to, if we are extremely generous, is a few hundred years.
30 years is a nanosecond of geological time and does not provide adequate sampling data. Your conclusion is like being blindfolded while riding in a car, being allowed to sneak a peek for half a second while driving through a tunnel, and then assuming that all of America from Atlantic to Pacific looks like the inside of a tunnel. Your sneak peek is far too small a visual sample of the country from which to draw a determination just as your sneak peek at seismic records is too small a sample from which to draw your conclusions about earthquake activity.
Hi William,
It does seem, in our own slice of time, that earthquakes are increasing, at least for us.
But do you have better data that I can use to give a more balanced picture? I would be glad to use it.
It may be that over the last 30 years earthquake activity has increased. When discussing geological time, 30 years is too small a period of time to make a judgement about whether or not earthquake activity is increasing or decreasing over any geologically significant time span. It may be a statistically anomaly.
If you flip a coin 10,000 times, the odds are that there will be some periods in which the coin will land on heads several times in a row. If you only have acess to the data regarding flips 535 through 540, all of which are heads, you would be incorrect in extrapolating from that tiny sample of total flips that every time you flip the coin it will land on heads or even that landing on heads is more likely than landing on tails. This is an example of an inadequate sample size creating a statistical anomaly. In the same way, your seismic sample is not large enough to make any reaonable conclusion regarding the increase of seismic activity in terms of geological time.
While you may be correct in saying that over the last 30 years, there has been an increase in seismic activity, that does not mean that similar short term increases have not occured many thousands of times over the history of the planet.
I do not have access to any additional data. In fact, I doubt that such data exists. The technology and infrastructure to collect such data is a fairly recent development.
I am not suggesting that your data is incorrect. I am simply pointing out the fact that it is inadeqate to reach the conclusion that you are proposing.
Hi WIlliam,
I see what you are saying.
What is best now is just to watch for realistic threats to our own physical safety.
I always watch for realistic threats to my physical safety. If I see a bear on the sidewalk, I cross the street and walk on the other side.
Hi Wiliam,
Good for you.
I avoid bears also.
Now that I have demonstrated the invalidity of your conclusion, are you willing to acknowledge that your methodology is flawed?
Hi William,
Not really. While I cannot compare earthquake data to 6000 years ago, and say the rate is higher, I can say for the time period I specified, that earthquakes have increased.
Your data does support the conclusion that earthquake activity has increased over the past 30 years. To extrapolate from this, without additional data, that this is a unique or significant occurence is to make a hasty generalization, which is a formal logical fallacy. If you are unfamiliar with this fallacy, I would recommend doing a google search and becoming more familiar with the concept.
Additionally, from reading the handful of earthquake references in Revelation, (8:5, 11:13, 11:19, 16:18, 16:20, and 6:14), it would not be unreasonable for people during virtually any historical period to infer that they are living in the “end times,” since there have always been destructive earthquakes. As far as I can tell, the text neither specifically states nor strongly implies that there will be an increase in the frequency of earthquakes, merely that there will be some large ones that cause extensive damage.
Here is an interesting paragraph from the Wikipedia article on earthquakes:
“The number of seismic stations has increased from about 350 in 1931 to many thousands today. As a result, many more earthquakes are reported than in the past, but this is because of the vast improvement in instrumentation, rather than an increase in the number of earthquakes. The USGS estimates that, since 1900, there have been an average of 18 major earthquakes (magnitude 7.0-7.9) and one great earthquake (magnitude 8.0 or greater) per year, and that this average has been relatively stable.[13] In recent years, the number of major earthquakes per year has decreased, although this is thought likely to be a statistical fluctuation rather than a systematic trend. More detailed statistics on the size and frequency of earthquakes is available from the USGS.[14]”
Here are the footnotes referenced by the Wikipedia article.
^ “Common Myths about Earthquakes”. USGS. http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learning/faq.php?categoryID=6&faqID=110. Retrieved on 2006-08-14
^ “Earthquake Facts and Statistics: Are earthquakes increasing?”. USGS. http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/eqlists/eqstats.html. Retrieved on 2006-08-14.
Hi William,
The bible just refers to a few catastrophic earthquakes, but because they are very large in size, there is no need for many of them. They are described as being felt all over the earth, not in just one location.
What is asked now is this: is it possible that one of these could occur soon?
What I imagine, reading the scriptures, is an earthquake that is way off the scale ( ie >10.0).
What I also ask: is the earth’s crust in such a condition now, that a quake of global proportions could occur anytime in the near future?
Possibly the increase in frequency of earthquakes, in the time we know now, weakens the crust enough to make it susceptible to some greater force in the future.
Thanks for your challenges.
The earthquake data alone, in addition to being too small a snapshot, could be very misleading–according to the Bible itself. In Matthew, chapter 24, Jesus says wars and earthquakes are just the beginning–and of course we have had those for thousands of years. Verse 9 lets you know when things really get going, i.e. “then they will hand you over to be tortured and will put you to death, and you will be hated by all nations because of my name….many false prophets will arise…etc” He is talking to his followers of course. And right now people who claim to be his followers are in positions of power where they torture other people, so it seems you have a way to go before “all the world” is persecuting Christians. That is, unless you believe, as well you might, that false Christians are persecuting real ones in a metaphorical sense right now. Problem with that is, you have brought in the idea of metaphor, which may ruin your whole scheme of things. My fear is that people like you will make the apocalyptic end a self-fulfilling prophecy, that you will make the myth come true because you want it to. There are people of other faiths who seem to be attracted to this social dementia as well, and they may help you and those like you bring about a horrible end to the planet. I hope not. My advice, read some books of comparative religion, mythology, and the like, and learn how these kinds of tales have been around in various cultures since the dawn of civilization. Then, look at some of the real problems of the world and do your part to fix them, instead of cheering them on.
hi jeff,
I can assure you that I am not desiring to be hit with an earthquake. I do not like to suffer.
So I am definitely not trying to “make it happen” in a self fulling prophecy.
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Earthquakes are just part of our existence on earth, and being aware of one as a potential danger, or seeing a pattern of increase, just seems smart.
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People who torture others are not Christians. A christian is one who follows what Jesus taught. Many and most do not do this.
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But you have indirectly raised some good points:
1. in the last days, there is predicted to be a great falling away from the faith.
Matthew 24:11-12, 24,
2 Thessalonians 2:3
Mark 13:22
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This apostasy will give a negative view of the faith, and cause many to hate the true believers, thinking all Christians are alike.
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2. People who are of the “synagogue of Satan” (false believers) will definitely persecute true believers in the faith.
Rev 2:10,
Mark 13:9-12
Jhn 16:2 They shall put you out of the synagogues: yea, the time cometh, that whosoever killeth you will think that he doeth God service.
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3. In Revelation 2-3, Jesus speaks prophetically to the 7 different church types. Smyrna is the church of the martyrs. Their heaven reward is assured, because they have given their lives rather than deny Christ. Philadelphia is considered of little strength, but faithful. Their heaven reward is assured.
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The others have issues, and need to repent. They are in sin, and present a false witness to the world.
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So, even in the bible, there is predicted the true and the false divisions of believers.
Perhaps my most important point was the need for you to look at both the history of this “end-time” hobby within the Church and also to study the texts of other religions/myths so you might have some sense of how common these notions are. For someone, somewhere, we are always living in the “end times.” Some Biblical scholarship is in order as well. In the Biblical time period, people were not using arabic numerals like we do for numbers, they were using letters of the alphabet. This led to a common practice of “hiding” certain things in numbers—but not hiding them very much. The early readers of the book of Revelation knew exactly who the author was talking about when he referred to the “beast” and his number 666. If you transpose the Greek “Kaisar Neron” to Hebrew letters, and then use the typical numbering system of that day, you come up with a total of 666. The beast was the Roman Emperor Nero, and his “mark,” that is his face on the coinage was everywhere. Because of their religious practices the Jewish people often referred to Rome as the new Babylon. There is nothing secret or hidden or mysterious about any of this. At a metaphorical level of course, there is always a “beast” somewhere in the world, and we have had quite a few in history. One could make a good argument that the leader of the U.S., whoever he might be at any moment would qualify, seeing that we have the world’s largest military, still the most powerful economic clout (though that may be disappearing), and our mark (the dollar) is still widely used. I hope that one day you and others will see the folly of trying to deduce fortunes from these texts and being so literal minded. There may be lessons in them, but not the ones that most of these “end-timers” are focused on. The Bible was written by humans and should be treated as such.
Hi Jeff,
I think what you are assuming is that if a human agent is involved, either directly, as an originator of a writing, or indirectly, as an intermediate between God and man, that, somehow, the information that results is in error.
I just contend that something is either true (correct), or it isn’t, no matter whether you are “religious” or not.
We depend daily on others, who are human also, to give us information, and we hope that the information is correct.
The bottom line to me is: will these events occur, as predicted? It should not matter if a geologist makes a prediction or the bible does, if you are in the middle of an earthquake. The quake still happened, so the information is true.
I think “end times” can occur on several levels:
1. the individual – who only has about 70 years on this earth anyhow. I can see “beasts” and Antichrists, and “floods” and “earthquakes” in my own life that I have had to contend with.
2. by society – some societies have had terrible times – look at Darfur.
3. by generation – look at the World wars that have been fought, and it affected everyone, almost, on the planet.
The people 2000 years ago thought the apocalypse was already upon them. Many believers were thrown to the lions to be devoured. Many others were crucified and killed in other multiple ways.
We live in a fallen world, on a planet that occasionally presents upheaval – tornadoes, earthquakes, tsunamis, floods, drought, disease, etc.
So, do we wait until a future time to prepare, or do we give all this some thought ahead of time and prepare?
I live in an area where we get ice storms in the winter. I have kerosene lamps, and extra blankets. I am ready.
Whether you have a secular view of this time in history, or a religious/spiritual one, you have to see that this world has issues, that have been predicted to some degree.
Nuclear weapons could destroy this entire planet in a single day.
So to think that the disasters were all fulfilled by Nero is to leave oneself open and vulnerable. Each age will have its Nero.
So, this is all food for thought. The issue is whether the information is correct or not, and how will we respond.
thanks
marianne
Just a final note of clarification. I do not assume that if something is written by a human being, that it is in error, but I do assume that it may have errors. But more importantly, you are assuming that you know how to read these prophecies, and you seem to give them the same amount of credence, or more, as you would to information based on experience, research, testing, etc. By all means, if a geologist tells you that you live on a fault line that is about to cave in, consider moving. But if, through strained interpretations of texts by multiple authors, in different times, written 2000 or more years ago, and modified by later “translators,” you find something that suggests that you live on a fault line that is about to cave in, please rest easy. You have a fairly good reason to believe the geologist in this matter (though he may be in error), but you have no reason to think the Bible will be nearly as reliable in this subject.
Hi Jeff,
The bible does not have “errors.” It is general information at times, and specific at other times. It may not tell me where the fault would be, as a geologist would. It would just tell me to expect a large earthquake around a certain time frame, when other events are also happening, and certain conditions in the world are true.
However, the bible does predict an earthquake along the Syrian – African Rift. Now, how would early people know about that, and which way the continental plates would slide?
http://heavenawaits.wordpress.com/the-garden-of-eden-and-the-%E2%80%9Cpit%E2%80%9D-%E2%80%93-tioran-land-drift-theory/
You are presenting a traditional “the bible is wrong and has been modified” argument, when there is no credible data to back this up. This is an empty argument with no proof. It is a position motivated by unbelief, not substantial, credible evidence. Documents written hundred of years later by heretics, to refute the bible, are also not acceptable evidence.
God is the author of the bible, the writers are only his agents.
I give credence to prophecies because the bible has proven credible to me and to others, over time. History has documented many, many prophesies that have come true. Other predicted events are in the making, judging by the signs of the times. Just the re-establishment of Israel, first predicted by Jeremiah, and then by Jesus, is a testimony to credibility. It would take up too much space to list every prophecy that has been fulfilled.
I have spent 40 years reading and reflecting upon what the bible says. I do feel confident about most of my interpretations. In other cases, I present my interpretation as opinion. At any time, people are welcome to present a different interpretation, if they have some proof.